Etikett: ALUM

China fears fade but commodity investors remain defensive on Fed rate outlook

China and strong USD fail to deter commodity bargain-huntersChina fears fade but commodity investors remain defensive on Fed rate outlook

ETF Securities Commodity ETP Weekly – China fears fade but commodity investors remain defensive on Fed rate outlook

Highlights

•  Defensive investors prompt third week of inflows into gold ETPs.

•  Nine week inflow streak breaks on profit taking in oil ETPs.

•  ETFS Short Copper (SCOP) sees largest outflows in 17 weeks as sentiment rebounds.

•  Wheat drives first inflows into agricultural sector in four weeks.

Download the complete report (.pdf)

Rebounding economic sentiment has seen cyclical commodity prices surge over the past week, with the exception of the agricultural sector. Despite more optimism surrounding US economic activity – a tighter jobs market and an overall robust report from the US Beige Book – investors have maintained a relatively defensive stance, with gold receiving the largest inflows in the commodities sector. We expect that as the prevailing optimism over global growth overshadows fears over a Chinese slowdown, commodity markets should continue to benefit, even in the face of a rising US Dollar as we saw last week. The Fed lies ahead.

Defensive investors prompt third week of inflows into gold ETPs. G20 deliberations over the weekend addressed concerns about Chinese market volatility but any conclusions or detail was scarce. Alongside the potential for a Fed rate hike in 20- 15, investors are retaining a cautious stance, with both gold and silver receiving solid inflows. Long gold ETPs have received nearly US$265mn over the past three weeks, and this is likely to continue, especially from European investors trying to seek a buffer against further Euro depreciation. Certainly the ECB appears prepared to do more on the stimulus front after last week’s policy meeting and gold continues to provide a good buffer against a loss of international purchasing power for Eurozone residents, with gold in Euros rising nearly 3% so far this year. Silver saw the largest inflows in 22 weeks, totaling US$7.8mn after rising 3.1%.

Nine week inflow streak breaks on profit taking in oil ETPs. Back-to-back weekly gains in crude oil prices has seen investors reduce exposure to the energy sector. The gains appear to be somewhat premature, with US stockpiles posting the largest gains since April last week. Indeed, stockpiles, while in the midst of a seasonal downtrend, are 20% above the 5-year average, indicating the market remains oversupplied. Outflows totaled US$45.9mn last week and were dominated by US WTI exposed ETPs. Meanwhile, reinforcing the view that potential weakness lies ahead, ETFS Daily Short WTI Crude Oil (SOIL) received the largest inflows in 15 weeks, totaling US$6.9mn.

ETFS Short Copper (SCOP) sees largest outflows in 17 weeks as sentiment rebounds. SCOP experienced US$5.8mn of outflows, and alongside US$3.3mn inflows into long copper ETPs, indicates a sharp shift in the negative sentiment that has previously been affecting the industrial metals sector. ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) received the largest inflows in four weeks as global stockpiles reached 6-year lows.

Wheat drives first inflows into agricultural sector in four weeks. Investors appear to be ignoring the
plentiful global supplies that are having a depressing impact on wheat prices in recent weeks, with inflows into long wheat ETPs the largest in three weeks. Five of the past six weeks have seen positive inflows into long wheat ETPs, totaling over US$20mn over that period. Sugar was again the best performer among agricultural commodities as wetter weather in Brazil and fears of the El Nino impacting production in India lent support to price. Investors thus far have not capitalized on the gains seen in sugar over the past month, with outflows totaling US$6.5mn.

Key events to watch this week. Central bank policy will remain key focus this week, as investors weigh the growth and inflation outlook of major economies against a backdrop of lingering uncertainty surrounding China. Ahead of the Fed next week, the Bank of England and Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate meetings will be scrutinised for any hints of the extent of feedback from global volatility on domestic economies.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.

Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.

Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.

The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.

Risk Warnings

Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.

If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.

China and strong USD fail to deter commodity bargain-hunters

China and strong USD fail to deter commodity bargain-hunters

ETF Securities Commodity ETP Weekly – China and strong USD fail to deter commodity bargain-hunters

Highlights

•    Inflows into long WTI crude and Brent oil ETPs continued for the 5th straight week.

•    Multiyear low prices attract bargain hunters to industrial metals ETPs.

•    Outflows from physically backed gold ETPs continue for the 11th consecutive week.

•    Physically backed platinum ETPs (PHPT) drew inflows of US$4.3mn while palladium ETPs saw outflows of US$7.4mn.

•    ETFS Agriculture (AIGA) received US$14.6mn of inflows last week.

Download the complete report (.pdf)

The jobs data in the US last week provided vital ammunition for the Federal Reserve to pull the trigger on interest rate increases later this year, adding to US dollar strength, which weighed on commodity prices. Interestingly gold remained resilient, seeing its price rise in US dollar terms for a second straight week, despite outflows from gold ETPs. The key to the commodity complex’s fortunes is China’s growth path and the market is on the lookout for further stimulus in the country.

Inflows into long WTI crude and Brent oil ETPs continued for the 5th straight week. WTI crude oil touched US$43.94 and Brent reached US$48.55, marking their lowest levels since 20th March and 29th January respectively this year. We believe that these low prices will provide high-cost producers the incentive to cut production, and will pave the way for price increases later in 2015. Bargain hunters have continued to accumulate positions at these depressed price levels, with long oil ETPs receiving US$88.6mn of inflows last week, the highest since March 2015.

Multiyear low prices attract bargain hunters to industrial metals ETPs. ETFS Aluminum (ALUM) and ETFS Copper ETPs (COPA) recorded US$15.5mn and US$10.7mn, their highest inflows in 12 and 18 weeks, respectively. A weaker-than-expected Chinese manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) reading of 50 and an unexpected decline in German industrial production (of -1.6%) pushed copper and aluminum prices to 6 year lows this week. However, China announced plans raise 1 trillion yuan in bonds to fund infrastructure projects which will likely increase the demand for industrial metals. Money manager net short positions in copper reported by the LME and Shanghai Futures Exchange have more than trebled over the past week and ETP investors are betting on a short-selling rally, should any supply side outages eventuate from weather related Chilean mine disruptions.

Outflows from physically backed gold ETPs continue for the 11th consecutive week. After the second consecutive week of price gains, outflows from physical gold ETPs slowed to US$41.1mn, the lowest in five weeks. The probability of a Fed rate hike in September rose to 56% following the sturdy US jobs data release. Gold however shrugged off the news and rose. Slowing outflows and steadying prices could mark the end of the gold rout, with Q3 a seasonally robust period for gold historically.

Physically backed platinum ETPs (PHPT) drew inflows of US$4.3mn while palladium ETPs saw outflows of US$7.4mn. BMW AG cut production last week amid weak auto demand in China. Approximately 70% of palladium demand comes from the autocatalyst market. Platinum has more diverse sources of demand, which helps explain why investors appear more optimistic about its outlook.

ETFS Agriculture (AIGA) received US$14.6mn of inflows last week. When combined with the previous week’s US$19.8mn of inflows, we saw the highest fortnightly inflows in to the agricultural basket since October 2014. With a strengthening El Niño potentially disrupting global crop production this year, we are could see sharp gains in agricultural prices as supply falls short of expectations.

Key events to watch this week. Industrial production data in the US, China and Japan will provide a gauge for industrial metal demand, while US retail sales and weekly jobs figures will help provide clarity on the US dollar’s strength.

Video Presentation

Aneeka Gupta, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.

Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.

Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.

The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.

Risk Warnings

Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.

If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.

Precious Metals in Favour as Equity Volatility Rises

Precious Metals in Favour as Equity Volatility Rises

ETF Securities Commodity ETP Weekly Precious Metals in Favour as Equity Volatility Rises

Gold leads precious metal inflows to 11 week highs of US$49m.

ETFS Coffee (COFF) had its second highest weekly flow since inception in 2008.

ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) receives highest inflows in six months.

Profit-taking in oil ETPs for the seventh consecutive week.

Download the complete report (.pdf)

The outlook for cyclical commodities has improved after China’s central bank cut interest rates for the third time in six months in order to stem the slowdown in economic activity. However, risk appetite could be limited, with sharp moves in both directions for benchmark equities keeping investors on edge. As a result, gold appears to have come back into favour as a defensive hedge against declining sentiment. Gold appears set to benefit again this week, with Greek debt negotiations likely to prevent any significant upswing in investor risk appetite.

Gold leads precious metal inflows to 11 week highs of US$49m. Investors looked to physical gold exposures last week to offset the rough patch experienced by global equity markets as rising volatility saw most global benchmarks post sharp declines. ETFS physical gold ETPs received the largest inflows in 12 weeks, totaling over US$38mn. Alongside gold inflows, silver received the largest inflows in four weeks, totaling over US$4mn, despite a moderation in prices.

ETFS Coffee (COFF) had its second highest weekly flow since inception in 2008. The Colombian Coffee Growers Federation reported that the country’s coffee production for April grew 11.06% year-on-year, prompting a price decline last week, but investors saw this as a better entry point to establish long positions. However, Colombia only produces 11% of global Arabica output. Brazil who produces 45% of global output, has had significant drought damage to its coffee bushes in 2014 threatening the yield in 2015. Added to that, a firmer Brazilian Real removes a catalyst for stock-offloading by Brazilian farmers. We believe that coffee prices could benefit from a tightening in supply from Brazil. Elsewhere in the agricultural sector, long wheat ETPs have seen the fifth consecutive week of inflows, totaling nearly US$27mn. Lower crop planting intentions by US farmers this season compared to last have given investors greater optimism of a run down in elevated inventory levels.

ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) receives highest inflows in six months. ALUM received US$72mn of inflows last week, as confidence regarding the outlook for Chinese growth gains momentum. Aluminium prices have been in decline as the market has been abundantly supplied. However, Chinese imports increased by over 30% in April from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the solid gains in recent weeks experienced by copper price has seen investors book profits, with withdrawals from ETFS Copper (COPA) at the highest levels in seven months, totaling US$40mn.

Profit-taking in oil ETPs for the seventh consecutive week. Oil prices posted declines last week, despite US stockpiles dropping for the first time in x months. After rising on expectations of prices declined as the EIA revealed a drop in inventory levels. Certainly recent rally appears stretched given the fundamentals, as supply remains abundant, and not just in the US. OPEC continues to produce more oil despite budgetary problems, but if prices remain at current levels, excess US production is not expected to be under any pressure.

Key events to watch this week. Eurozone Q1 GDP will be the key event this week in order to determine whether the ECB’s stimulus is having an impact on the real economy, and whether investors are justified increasing gold holdings. Greek debt negotiations will also have a near term impact on investor sentiment.

Video Presentation

Martin Arnold, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.

Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.

Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.

The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.

Risk Warnings

Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.

If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.

A Four-Year High in Oil ETP Inflows

A Four-Year High in Oil ETP Inflows

Commodity ETP Weekly A Four-Year High in Oil ETP Inflows

Weekly oil ETP inflows highest in four years – US$76.9mn.

Natural gas ETPs saw US$7.5mn of inflows last week.

ETFS Physical Silver (PHAG) received highest inflows in nine weeks.

ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) sees outflows of US$41.3mn, the most in five weeks.

Download the complete report (.pdf)

Continued oil price declines drove further rounds of bargain hunting last week, with WTI and Brent oil ETPs seeing their highest weekly inflows since 2011. WTI fell to US$48/bbl and Brent came within a whisker of US$50/bbl, putting their price at more than 5-year lows. We believe that oil prices at these levels are unsustainable. Although OPEC resisted calls to cut production in November, highlighting the need for oil prices to find a new equilibrium, we believe the cartel will eventually have to reduce supply to help stabilise global oil prices. The cartel jointly produces approximately 40% of global oil output. Saudi Arabia, the largest producer in the cartel, raised its sale price of Arab Light grade oil in Asia for February last week, implicitly acknowledging that the price-war has gone too far. Demand for cyclical commodities, including oil, could rise this year as economic growth continues to improve. US non-farm payrolls released on Friday displayed an upside surprise once again, providing a boon to cyclicals.

Weekly oil ETP inflows highest in four years. Long Brent oil ETPs received US$76.9mn of inflows last week, the highest since March 2011, while Long WTI oil ETPs gained US$81.6mn of inflows, the highest since June 2011. Bargain hunting is clearly continuing to drive the flows in a week where Brent fell 11.1% and WTI dropped 8.4%. WTI investors in particular do not appear to be deterred by the falling prices with 15 continuous weeks of inflows having been recorded (during which time WTI has fallen a cumulative 45%). Brent oil ETPs have seen four consecutive weeks of inflows, also indicating that many investors think that global oil prices are nearing a bottom. US oil rigs have already started to decline and are 10% below September level. Historically, oil rigs have taken about 16 weeks to adjust to lower oil prices. During periods of strong declines in WTI crude price, like during the 2008 crisis, oil rigs have halved in the following four months and we expect a similar pattern to occur in 2015. Tightening of oil supply in the US and other oil producing countries could be a precursor to the OPEC cartel cutting supply come its June 2015 meeting.

Natural gas ETPs saw US$7.5mn of inflows last week, marking the seventh consecutive week of inflows. A cold snap drove the price of natural gas 1.3% higher last week. Gas storage inventories also fell more than expected, supporting prices. Most of the flows came into ETFS Leveraged Natural Gas (US$5.1mn), indicating a short-term tactical play on the weather issues that are driving the price.

ETFS Physical Silver (PHAG) received highest inflows in nine weeks. Flows into PHAG amounted to US$17.3mn. Silver prices rebounded 2.5% last week to the highest level since mid-December 2014 as geopolitical risks once again drove the price of the defensive precious metals like gold and silver. With terrorist attacks in France and questions surrounding the future of Greece in the euro area, geopolitical concerns have once again come to the fore. The positive employment numbers from the US released on Friday failed to cap the gains in both gold and silver last week.

ETFS Aluminium (ALUM) sees outflows of US$41.3mn, the most in five weeks. After a 12% rally between October and November 2014, aluminium prices have been falling. Excess production capacity, especially in China continues to weigh on aluminium prices. While we believe that capacity will be eventually be cut, the process will take some time.

Key events to watch this week. Chinese lending and exports data will be closely watched as investors assess the strength of demand from the world’s largest consumer of commodities. US inflation data could give an indication of the urgency or lack thereof for interest rate hikes. Consensus expectations of a fall in headline inflation are likely to keep calls for quicker rate rises at bay.

Video Presentation

Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.

For more information contact

ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com

Important Information

General

This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.

This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.

This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.

This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.

Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.

Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.

The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.

Risk Warnings

Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.

If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.