Deutsche Boerse skapar index för artificiell intelligens
Den tyska börsgiganten Deutsche Boerse skapar ett index för artificiell intelligens. Det är ett index med en algoritm för att spåra AI-ledare som till Apple. Detta index kommer att spåra företag som är ledare inom artificiell intelligens (AI) genom att använda en algoritm för att identifiera tidiga adoptörer av tekniken.
Företag i indexet inkluderar Apple, Deutsche Telekom, Bank of America och Facebook, säger den tyska börsoperatören. Deutsche Boerse säger att de har hittat ett sätt att identifiera AI-relaterade patentansökningar för att välja de 200 företag som komponerar indexet, kallat AI STOXX Global Artificial Intelligence Index.
Tidig indikator för AI-innovatörer
Patenten är en tidig indikator för AI-innovatörer och indexet, det första i sitt slag, kommer att hjälpa indexspårningsfonder som intresserade av företag som är inriktade på artificiell intelligens, sa Deutsche Boerse.
Dagens tidiga adoptörer är morgondagens AI-ledare, säger Matteo Andreetto, verkställande direktör för Deutsche Boerse indexföretag STOXX, i ett uttalande. ”Investerare behöver lösningar för att urskilja hype från en verklig möjlighet”.
Deutsche Boerse, som tillkännagav indexet på en konferens för börshandlade fonder i USA, har samarbetat med Yewno, ett AI-företag baserat i Redwood City, Kalifornien, för att skapa indexet. Deutsche Boerses Stoxx-enhet driver mer än 7.500 index, inklusive Euro Stoxx 50.
Weekly Investment Insights – Correction presents buying opportunity
In 2017, ETF Securities will be broadening its weekly FX insights to cover all asset classes including commodities, equities and fixed income. We hope you continue to find these updates useful.
Highlights
Optimism over growth prospects and accommodative monetary conditions have pushed European equity benchmarks to multi-month highs.
Current levels look unsustainable in the short run as momentum wanes and bearish technical signals surface.
Longer term prospects for European stocks appear more favourable, so any correction could be an opportunity for entry.
Near term top
European equity indices have been a beneficiary of the broad-based optimism that has characterised the market landscape since Trump’s election back in November. Most have recently set multi-month, if not multi-year, highs as analyst earnings forecasts have jumped on the back of an improved outlook for global growth based on reflationary trends. In addition, higher commodity prices, improved net interest margins and ongoing monetary stimulus have also helped to lift beleaguered resource and financial industry sectors that have previously weighed on performance. However, technical indicators suggest that across the board, the recent rally is losing steam, leaving indices such as the EURO STOXX 50, DAX 30, CAC 40 and the FTSE MIB vulnerable to a near term correction. Over the longer term, we believe that the stocks of core European states will remain attractively valued, especially when compared to their US counterparts, making any upcoming correction an excellent medium term opportunity to gain long exposure. This is especially true as economic indicators in Europe gather pace and continue to tick higher.
Momentum wanes
A “toppish” momentum divergence is where a particular index moves higher while its momentum indicators simultaneously trend lower and is typically interpreted as a bearish signal that a rally is coming to an end. This signal is in play for the EURO STOXX 50, DAX 30,CAC 40 and the FTSE MIB. All of these indices have recently reached highs which they have all failed to defend while their momentum indicators have turned lower. This implies that, at least in the near term, these benchmarks will come under pressure or at least remain subdued.
Eurozone economic uptick
Click to enlarge
Long term promise
In the medium term, we do not believe that any bearish pressure will last, as positive economic performance in Europe helps provide a boost to stock market performance. Barometers of economic strength, such as GDP growth, manufacturing surveys and industrial production, have all picked up markedly for the Eurozone since Q4 of last year (see Figure 1). The latest manufacturing purchasing managers index reading for January recently came in at the highest level in over five years, pointing towards a sustained recovery for a region that has experienced an uninspiring rebound from the financial crisis. Furthermore, indications from the latest European Central Bank meeting suggest that monetary conditions are likely to remain accommodative for the foreseeable future as core inflationary pressures remain fragile, removing the likelihood of a near term policy shock. Combined with far more favourable cyclically adjusted valuation metrics (specifically cyclically adjusted price to earnings) than the US, European benchmarks looked well placed to move higher in the coming six months.
Investors wishing to express the investment views outlined above may consider using the following ETF Securities ETPs:
Equity ETPs3x
ETFS 3x Daily Long Euro Stoxx 50 (EU3L)
ETFS 3x Daily Short Euro Stoxx 50 (UES3)
ETFS 3x Daily Long CAC 40 (FR3L)
ETFS 3x Daily Short CAC 40 (FR3S)
ETFS 3x Daily Long DAX 30 (GY3L)
ETFS 3x Daily Short DAX 30 (GY3S)
ETFS 3x Daily Long FTSE MIB (IT3L)
ETFS 3x Daily Short FTSE MIB (IT3S)
ETFS 3x Daily Long FTSE 100 (UK3L)
ETFS 3x Daily Short FTSE 100 (UK3S)
2x
ETFS DAX® Daily 2x Long GO UCITS ETF (DEL2)
ETFS DAX® Daily 2x Short GO UCITS ETF (DES2)
ETFS FTSE 100® Leveraged (Daily 2x) GO UCITS ETF (LUK2)
ETFS FTSE 100® Super Short Strategy (Daily 2x) GO UCITS ETF (SUK2)
The complete ETF Securities product list can be found here.
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Global ETP sector again records net inflows in November; Another strong month for American ETP market; Substantial inflows for Equity ETFs in particular; Asia ETFs recorded significant outflows; Positive trend for Bond ETFs at an end for now.
Europe Monthly ETF Market Review; Deutsche Bank Markets Research
Data as at: 30.11.2015 Global ETP sector again records net inflows in November
Global ETP Market In and Outflows:
• The global ETP industry continued to grow during November. After net inflows totaling US dollar 34 billion in October, the November figure was a further US dollar 25.7 billion. As such, the industry now manages US Dollar 2.9 trillion. (p. 1, 23)
• As in the previous month, the American ETP sector was the driver of this growth. It contributed US dollar 26 billion to global growth. Since the start of the year US ETPs have secured virtually US dollar 200 billion. In keeping with the previous month, inflows from Equity ETFs dominated with US dollar 25 billion.
• The trend for Bond ETFs turned negative in November. In contrast to worldwide inflows of US dollar 14.5 billion for this segment in October, during the month just past investors withdrew US dollar 47 million. (p. 23)
• Inflows also declined for Commodities ETCs. After a plus of US dollar 789 million in October, the past month saw a minus of US dollar 153 million. (p. 23)
• In parallel with the American ETP sector, the European ETF sector continued to grow during November. Following net inflows of US dollar 6.9 billion for October, the sector secured US dollar 3.4 billion in November. Equity ETF inflows also dominated in this case. (p. 23)
• Conversely, Asian ETPs saw a continuation of the negative trend of the previous month. Investors withdrew US dollar 3.7 billion. Equity ETFs were particularly affected with outflows running to US dollar 3 billion. In fact, Bond ETFs also recorded a decline. (p. 23).
European ETF Market In and Outflows Equities
• The positive trend for European ETFs continued during November. In total, the sector recorded net inflows of Euro 3.1 billion, compared with October’s Euro 5.9 billion. This was primarily due to Bond ETFs with net inflows of Euro 515 million which was significantly lower than the previous month (+ Euro 3.5 billion). At the same time, net inflows for Equity ETFs at Euro 2.5 billion were slightly higher than in October (+ Euro 2.4 billion). (p. 23)
• ETFs on US Equities were particularly in demand with European investors. With net inflows of Euro 637 million, US Equities accounted for one quarter of positive Equity ETF cash flows, followed by Global Indices (+ Euro 436 million) and Japanese Equities (+ Euro 387 million). This marked a trend change for US Equities after investors withdrew capital totaling Euro 227 million from this segment in October. Net inflows recorded by ETFs on European Equities fell to Euro 54 million after Euro 1.1 billion the previous month. (p. 25)
• Since the start of the year, cumulative net inflows recorded by ETFs on broadly-based European Equity Indices total Euro 20.3 billion, although during November the trend showed a slight change with investors withdrawing Euro 279 million from this segment. (p. 25)
• The positive shift in ETFs on Emerging Markets continued in November. This segment recorded a further Euro 6 million following Euro 824 million in October. Since the start of the year however, Emerging Markets ETFs have registered total outflows of Euro 1.9 billion. (p. 26)
• Having said that, during November inflows for ETFs on large Emerging Markets declined, in particular India ETFs where investors withdrew Euro 225 million. Positive inflows were recorded by ETFs on international Emerging Markets Indices. (p. 26)
• Strategy ETFs achieved a turnaround in November again registering inflows of Euro 178 million, after October’s outflows of Euro 481 million. (p. 24)
Bonds
• The positive trend for Bond ETFs also progressed in November, although net inflows of Euro 0.5 billion were significantly lower than the October figure (+ Euro 3.5 billion). (p. 26)
• In this arena, ETFs on Corporate Bonds accounted for the highest inflows with Euro 1.7 billion. This exceeded the October inflows figure. From an annual viewpoint, Corporate Bonds have registered net inflows amounting to Euro 13.1 billion. (p. 26)
• The positive trend over recent months for Sovereign Bonds has come to an end for the time being. Investors withdrew Euro 1.3 billion from this segment. (p. 26)
Commodities
• European Commodities ETPs registered Euro 166 million in November after Euro 340 million during October. (p. 27)
•While ETFs on Industrial Metals did once again generate slightly positive cash flows, ETFs on Precious Metals shed Euro 167 million contrasted with October when this segment had made a positive contribution to inflows. (p. 27)
Most Popular Indices
• In November, investors showed interest in Real Estate and Dividend ETFs. As such, ETFs on Real Estate Equity Indices in particular came high up the lists. (p. 28)
• The most popular Equity Indices in November were the S&P 500, the Euro STOXX 50 as well as the Stoxx 600. (p. 28)
• In the Bond arena, ETFs on Corporate Bond Indices in particular proved to be some of the most popular indices. (p. 28)
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Global ETP sector again records high net inflows in October; Strong month for ETFs on European Equity indices in particular; Inflows for Bond ETFs grew significantly in October; ETFs on the Japanese equity market as well as emerging markets recorded slight inflows; Gold and Crude Oil ETPs popular in October.
Europe Monthly ETF Market Review; Deutsche Bank Markets Research Global ETP sector again records high net inflows in October
Data as at: 30.10.2015
Global ETP Market In and Outflows:
• The global ETP sector continued to grow during October. After net inflows totaling US dollar 34.2 billion in September, the October figure was US dollar 34.1 billion. The industry now manages US Dollar 2.9 trillion (p. 1, 22).
• The American ETP market in particular was a key driver of global growth. Following net inflows of virtually US dollar 20 billion in September, inflows in October increased to US dollar 28 billion. Once again ETFs on Equity indices made the largest contribution delivering inflows of US dollar 15.8 billion. However, Bond ETFs also made a positive contribution with over US dollar 11 billion. After Commodities ETPs suffered outflows of 0.4 billion in September, the October figure saw inflows of US dollar 0.5 billion. Since the beginning of the year, US ETP inflows total in excess of US dollar 172 billion (p. 3, 22).
• The European ETP market also generated significant inflows. In October it grew by US dollar 7.1 billion following 2 billion US dollar growth the previous month. Indeed, Commodities ETPs successfully turned the corner with growth of US dollar 0.4 billion.
• Conversely, the Asian market recorded net outflows of US dollar 1 billion, after achieving net inflows during September in excess of US dollar 12.2. Both Bond ETPs and Equity ETPs suffered a decline in the Asian market (p. 22).
European ETF Market In and Outflows Equities:
• Net inflows recorded by the European ETF market during October increased substantially in comparison to September. During the past month, new money of Euro 6.1 billion was invested in ETFs, compared to the previous month’s figure of Euro 1.9 billion. The European ETF industry currently manages a total of Euro 447 billion (p. 12, 22).
• In October European Equity ETFs generated net inflows of Euro 2.5 billion which equates to 40 per cent of all European ETF inflows. The previous month’s net inflows figure for Equity ETFs was substantially lower at Euro 1.6 billion. Continuing the trend, in October most money was directed to developed markets. ETFs from industrialized countries recorded growth of Euro 1.3 billion, while Emerging Markets ETFs achieved Euro 0.8 billion. This signals a turnaround as Emerging Markets had still been suffering outflows during September (p. 22).
• ETFs on the Japanese equity market once again recorded net inflows in excess of Euro 0.7 billion during October, in comparison to the previous month when Japan ETFs suffered outflows of Euro 0.1 billion (p. 22).
• For ETFs on individual emerging markets, China ETFs recorded slight inflows, while ETFs on the Taiwanese and Russian markets registered slight outflows (p. 26).
• At a sector level, Energy was again one of the sectors attracting the highest growth with a plus of Euro 0.12 billion. In addition Consumer Goods ETFs recorded net inflows of Euro 0.1 billion. Strategy ETFs suffered significant outflows of Euro 0.4 billion which included short and leveraged products (p. 23).
Bonds
• October was also a month of significant inflows for Bond ETFs. This segment continued the positive trend from recent months by adding Euro 3.5 billion. As such, Bond ETFs contributed more than one half of the positive cash flow in the European ETF market during October (p. 1, 22).
• ETFs on Investment Grade Bonds attracted the highest inflows with an increase of Euro 2.9 billion. Consequently, total net inflows since the beginning of this year stand at Euro 20 billion. High Income Bonds also recorded positive inflows in October of Euro 0.7 billion bucking the net outflow trend over previous months (p. 1).
Commodities
• In October, European Commodities ETPs again recorded net inflows of almost Euro 0.4 billion, after outflows in September of Euro 0.26 billion. The winners mainly included ETPs on Crude Oil (Euro +0.19 billion) as well as Gold (Euro +0.14 billion) (p. 26).
Most Popular Indices
• The most popular equity indices in October remained the Euro STOXX 50, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, the STOXX 600 as well as the DAX. The S&P 500 and the MSCI Europe were also in demand (p. 27).
• For Bonds, investors focused particularly on ETFs on Sovereign Bonds issued by Emerging Markets as well as Euro High-Income Bonds (p. 27).
Coffee rebounds following Brazilian Real appreciation.
Chinese stocks cheer signs of further stimulus.
Sterling comes under pressure on inflation concerns.
Today Angela Merkel will host talks with Alex Tsipras, the Greek premier, in a bid to improve relations between the two nations and ensure the future of Greece within the Eurozone. The meeting comes as recent negotiations over the conditions of a Greek bailout package have divided public opinion and strained political ties. Elsewhere, the release of a series of manufacturing and home sales data this week will give investors the opportunity to gauge the health of major global economies. CPI data from the US and the UK will give clarity on the impact of low energy and food prices on inflation and the potential pace of rate hikes.
Commodities
Coffee rebounds following Brazilian Real appreciation. Coffee prices have come under significant pressure this year, falling 24% to US$1.26 per pound last week. This downward trend has been driven by healthy rainfall and a significant depreciation of the Brazilian Real. A weaker Real allows Brazilian producers to export coffee internationally at lower prices in US Dollar terms, without receiving less in their domestic currency. Last week the return of drier weather conditions and a temporary appreciation of the Real on Tuesday caused a reversal of the recent trend with coffee ending the week up 8.7%. US crude fell to a six-year low last week as stockpiles continued to accumulate and shale production showed little to no signs of slowing. US shale producers have shifted focus to rig efficiency and cost reduction to maintain output at current levels. Later in the year the curtailment of exploration spending and fall in the rig count should act to moderate US crude oil production and lift prices.
Equities
Chinese stocks cheer signs of further stimulus. On Sunday, the Chinese premier Li Keqiang pledged to shore up the economy to ensure that it meets its 7% growth target. Chinese equity markets rallied in approval, taking the statement as an indication that further stimulus measures are on their way in the form of reserve requirement reductions and interest rate cuts. The MSCI China A Index ended the week up 7.4% at an all-time high on the news. The FTSE 100 rose 3.0% in the week following the UK Chancellor of the Exchequers announcement of the 2015 pre-election budget. The budget sent energy and real estate stocks higher as the Chancellor announced measures to reduce tax on North Sea oil & gas companies and assist first time homebuyers. The EURO STOXX 50® Investable Volatility Index increased 3.6% as tensions mounted between Greece and Germany over reforms necessary in order to secure bailout funds.
Currencies
Sterling comes under pressure on inflation concerns. Following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week, a cautious press statement caused the Sterling to rise by 1.5% against the Dollar, the largest daily increase in five and a half years. These gains proved temporary as the Dollar recouped the prior day losses against most major currencies. Furthermore, minutes from the latest BOE meeting highlighted that consumer inflation will likely fall below zero soon and could potentially stay there if energy and food prices keep inflationary pressures at bay. Sterling is likely to continue to experience volatility in coming months, as the lack of a clear favorite in the upcoming general election and the growing popularity of parties on the fringe could lead investors to question the conviction of the British government.
For more information contact:
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
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Third Parties
Securities issued by each of the Issuers are direct, limited recourse obligations of the relevant Issuer alone and are not obligations of or guaranteed by any of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., Deutsche Bank AG any of their affiliates or anyone else or any of their affiliates. Each of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. and Deutsche Bank AG disclaims all and any liability whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise (save as referred to above) which it might have in respect of this document or its contents otherwise arising in connection herewith.
”Dow Jones,” ”UBS”, DJ-UBS CISM,”, ”DJ-UBS CI-F3SM,” and any related indices or sub-indices are service marks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (”Dow Jones”), CME Group Index Services LLC (”CME Indexes”), UBS AG (”UBS”) or UBS Securities LLC (”UBS Securities”), as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by the Issuer. The securities issued by CSL although based on components of the Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index 3 month ForwardSM are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, and none of Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities, or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product.
