How should investors diversify their portfolios

How should investors diversify their portfolios ETFMaticHow should investors diversify their portfolios

How should investors diversify their portfolios
Robin Powell

Prof Martin Weber – University of Mannheim

Hello There! One of the most important lessons we’ve learned from more than 60 years of portfolio construction is that diversifying your investments is a very good idea.

Professor Martin Weber from the University of Mannheim is a recognised international authority on the subject. He says, every portfolio requires a degree of balance:

Diversifying is the key thing to investment. There is a big saying: diversification is the only free lunch you get or you hate risks and you can destroy risk by diversification. That’s the reason it is so important.

The next question is: How do you diversify? The important thing, says Professor Weber, is to diversify across different geographical regions and different asset classes.

The idea of optimally diversifying is that you look at different asset classes first and you diversify across different asset classes and as the second thing, even within these asset classes, you diversify as broad as possible. If you think about different asset classes, clearly as stock, bond and commodities – you can think about other ones – but these are the most liquid tradable asset classes.

Within the stock, you have a variety of different stocks.

Of course, the downside of diversification is that you aren’t heavily exposed to the sector that’s about to enjoy big returns.

But that’s not the point. After all, nobody knows which region or asset class is about to outperform from one year to the next. The beauty of the idea of diversifying is, that you always have some bad things and some good things happening: There might be a bond bubble, there might be a gold rush, there might be a lot of things going on. That is basically the idea of diversifying. If you use a passive diversified strategy, you don’t have to care. It doesn’t matter to you.

Most investors should primarily hold stocks, as well as bonds to dampen the risk. But Professor Weber also recommends keeping a cash reserve, for two reasons.

It’s basically an idea to reduce risk. That’s one reason why you should hold cash in accordance with your risk preference. The second reason is that it is a buffer in case you need some money because your car breaks down, you want to go for a big journey or remodel the house. That’s a different need of cash. So for those two different reasons you might want to hold cash.

So that, in a nutshell, is diversification. It’s not complicated, but it’s very sensible. After all, as an investor, it’s better to be roughly right than completely wrong. Thank you to Professor Weber, and to you for watching. Goodbye.


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A nice entry point into REITs

A nice entry point into REITs

Markets have had a volatility spike during the last week where most of the investment classes have been hit (long bonds, stocks, gold, REITs, etc.). This creates a nice entry point into REITs if you are following the sector. Nothing much has happened in the direct property markets but we see a lot of equity issuance in the listed space (Hamborner REIT, Befimmo, Technopolis, ADO Properties, Cofinimmo etc.). Many of our favorite REITs and property stocks have thus been issuing shares and raising equity recently. Why now? …well, the cost of debt is coming down very fast as we could see when Citycon launched a 10 year corporate bond a few weeks ago at a coupon of 1,25 %. Then imagine most REITs doing the same, raising equity and debt 50/50 at these levels (Equity at a premium! and long 10year fixed at closer to 1 %!). This will create a situation where we will continue to see NAVs increasing during the coming years. As you can see from the chart below we would like to debunk the myth that you should only try to buy REITs at a discount. Click to enlarge Source; (FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Asia Index TR (Black), S&P500 TR (burgundy), FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index (World, red) and FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Europe Index TR (green), MSCI Daily TR World Index (blue)) REIT’s grow their NAVs and usually next year NAV will be higher than the previous year NAV. REITs have demonstrated this over several decades and shown that they can increase their dividends faster than inflation and that they are able to increase their NAVs at a comparable or even faster pace than opportunistic value add private equity funds. We feel comfortable with current valuations that are slightly on a premium, especially when we look at the market dynamics and the big picture where it just makes sense to increase the “real assets” part in any asset allocation going forward. Also, if REITs continue financing at long term fixed rates it will clearly reduce their exposure to the risk of rising interest rates in the future. Click to enlarge Source: Charts and data are calculated by UB Real Asset Management Ltd, 2016/09/16 Click to enlarge Performance of UB REIT funds, Source UB Asset Management

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