Investors reduced their long positions in gold and silver ETPs. We saw US$354.5mn and US$116.7mn out of our gold and silver ETPs respectively last week. The gold price is hovering around its highest level in twelve months, supported by the weakness of the US dollar and stock market declines. Fading market expectations of further Fed rate hikes, North Korea tensions and natural disasters are likely to prevent the US dollar from rising in the short term. Stanley Fischer, unexpectedly announced last week his resignation as Vice Chairman of the Fed for personal reasons. His departure from the Fed has increased uncertainty about the new governance of the Fed and the conduct of the future monetary policy. In addition, the ongoing bipartisan dispute over the increase of the US debt ceiling is also likely to lend further weaknesses to the US dollar as we move toward year end.
We saw US$26.3mn of outflows from oil ETPs as crude oil stocks are expected to rise. Oil prices gained 2% last week as refining capacity in the US increased after temporary shut-down in the wake of Tropical Storm Harvey. The US dollar weakened and talks between Russia and Saudi Arabia about a possible extension to the production cuts among OPEC producers added a tail-wind to crude oil prices. Hurricane Irma, ranked in the highest category, has reached Florida during the weekend, threatening the crude oil and natural gas production facilities and oil trading. The threat to pipeline infrastructure and refining capacity will again weaken crude oil prices and increase gasoline prices (as we saw on Friday). The US Department of Energy (DOE) weekly report has revealed a strong increase in US crude oil stocks in the week ending on the 1st of September as a result of Harvey. Hurricane Irma is likely to see crude stocks continue to rise while gasoline stocks decline.
Investors taking profits on industrial metals after prices slipped. We saw US$119.9mn of outflows from our industrial metals ETPs last week after metals experienced a moderate price correction on the back of falling US stock markets. While the overall global macroeconomic outlook remains supportive to commodity demand, prices are likely to face an unwind in speculative positioning as investors seek to take profit. Copper ETPs saw the largest outflows (US$65.5mn) since October 2014. Year-to-date, copper ETPs attracted US$41.7mn on the back of strong price performance (+18.4%).
Agriculture ETPs attracted US$43.3mn of inflows last week. A massive 8.1- magnitude earthquake hit Mexico’s southern coasts last Friday, causing tsunami waves. This natural disaster threatens production of Arabica coffeein Mexicoand Central America, a region which accounts for 20% of the global output. The damages could slow down the upcoming harvest of Mexican coffee in October and possibly drive the price of coffee higher.
Video Presentation
Morgane Delledonne, Fixed Income Strategist at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.
For more information contact
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.
Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.
Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.
The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
Risk Warnings
Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.
If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.
ETF Securities Weekly Flows Analysis – Investors continue to rotate into cyclical assets
While investors pared back their defensive positions in gold and precious metal baskets, they built positions in technology equities, industrial metals and commodity FX baskets.
Inflows into robotic themed ETFs (US$7.2mn) and cyber security themed ETFs (US$6.4mn) were the highest in five and three weeks, respectively.
Industrial metals receive inflows for the fourth consecutive week.
Technology-themed ETFs see multi-week high inflows. Both robotic and cybersecurity ETPs have seen stellar inflows since their inception. Last week’s inflows of US$7.2mn and US$6.4mn respectively into robotic and cybersecurity ETPs marked the highest in five and three weeks. In the past year, robotic themed equities have returned close to 39%, while cybersecurity themed equities have returned close to 21%.
Industrial metal basket ETPs receive inflows for the fourth consecutive week. There were US$13.2mn of inflows into industrial metal baskets last week. A raft of upside surprises in Chinese data releases last week continued the positive momentum for industrial metals prices. Chinese industrial production, retail sales and GDP all beat expectations. China is the largest consumer of industrial metals and continued growth in its economy indicates that its demand for these commodities is unlikely to abate. We remain positive on Chinese economic growth at least until the end of this year as the country aims to maintain an even keel in the run-up to the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China.
Investors favour silver over gold. Last week’s inflows of US$17mn marked the third consecutive week of inflows into long silverETPs. Meanwhile long gold ETPs saw outflows of US$28.5mn and long precious metal baskets saw outflows of US$5.6mn. With continued signs of economic strength, investors have sided with silver as it has higher upside potential in periods of cyclical growth. While we believe that gold will end Q2 2018 roughly flat at today’s levels, silver could rise more than 10% and bring the elevated gold to silver ratio back down closer to historical average levels. We believe that upside inflation surprises will benefit both metals, but with greater industrial usage and continued mine supply deficit, silver is better positioned in this point of the economic cycle.
Commodity FX baskets see highest inflows since April. In a further sign that investors are getting more optimistic about cyclical assets – in particular those that are exposed to commodities – investors bought US$7.7mn of commodity FX baskets. Following an increase in policy rates by the Bank of Canada, the Canadian Dollar jumped to the highest level in 13 months, which could signal that demand for underlying oil demand is recovering. The Norwegian Krone has also appreciated to a nine-month high as the recent rally in oil prices has lifted the currency.
Video Presentation
Nitesh Shah, Director, Commodity Research at ETF Securities provides an analysis of last week’s performance, flow and trading activity in commodity exchange traded products and a look at the week ahead.
For more information contact
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).
This communication is only targeted at qualified or professional investors.
The products discussed in this communication are issued by ETFS Commodity Securities Limited (”CSL”), ETFS Hedged Commodity Securities Limited (”HCSL”), ETFS Hedged Metal Securities Limited (”HMSL”), Swiss Commodity Securities Limited (”SCSL”), ETFS Foreign Exchange Limited (”FXL”), ETFS Metal Securities Limited (”MSL”), ETFS Oil Securities Limited (”OSL”), ETFS Equity Securities Limited (”ESL”), Gold Bullion Securities Limited (”GBS” and, together with CSL, HCSL, HMSL, SCSL, FXL, MSL, OSL and ESL, the ”Issuers”) and GO UCITS ETF Solutions Plc (the ”Company ”). Each Issuer (apart from SCSL) is regulated by the Jersey Financial Services Commission. The Company is an open-ended investment company with variable capital having segregated liability between its sub-funds (each a ”Fund”) and is organised under the laws of Ireland. The Company is regulated, and has been authorised as a UCITS by the Central Bank of Ireland (the ”Financial Regulator”) pursuant to the European Communities (Undertaking for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities) Regulations, 2003 (as amended).
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Any historical performance included in this communication may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this communication solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance. Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.
The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities nor shall any securities be offered or sold to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchaser or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of such jurisdiction. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
ETFS UK is required by the FCA to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
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Securities issued by the Issuers and the Company may be structured products involving a significant degree of risk and may not be suitable for all types of investor. This communication is aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant Issuer or the Company which includes, inter alia, information on certain risks associated with an investment. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may be priced in US Dollars, Euros, or Sterling, and the value of the investment in other currencies will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities of the Issuers or the shares of the Company which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor.
Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuers and the Company.
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For Dutch, French, German and Italian Investors: The prospectuses (and any supplements thereto) for each of the Issuers (apart from SCSL) have been passported from the United Kingdom into France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands and have been filed with the l’Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) in France, Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin) in Germany, CONSOB and the Bank of Italy in Italy and the Authority Financial Markets (Autoriteit Financiële Markten) in the Netherlands. Copies of prospectuses (and any supplements thereto) and related regulatory documentation, including annual reports, can be obtained in France from HSBC France, 103, Avenue des Champs Elysées, 75008 Paris, in Germany from HSBC Trinkhaus & Burkhardt, AG, Konsortialgeschäft, Königsalle 21/23, 40212 Dusseldorf and in the Netherlands from Fortis Bank (Nederland) N.V., Rokin 55, 1012 KK Amsterdam. The prospectuses (and any supplements thereto) for each of the Issuers (apart from SCSL) may be distributed to investors in France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands.
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This communication is not addressed to or intended directly or indirectly, to (a) any persons who do not qualify as qualified investors (gekwalificeerde beleggers) within the meaning of section 1:1 of the Dutch Financial Supervision Act as amended from time to time; and/or (b) in circumstances where other exemptions or dispensations from the prohibition the Dutch Financial Supervision Act or the Exemption Regulation of the Act on Financial Supervision apply.
None of the Issuers is required to have a license pursuant to the Dutch Financial Supervision Act as it is exempt from any licensing requirements and is not regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets and consequently no prudential and conduct of business supervision will be exercised.
For Austrian, Danish, Finnish, Portuguese, Spanish and Swedish Investors: The prospectuses (and any supplements thereto) for each of CSL, HCSL, HMSL, MSL, ESL and FXL have been passported from the United Kingdom into Austria, Denmark, Finland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and have been filed with Österreichische Finanzmarktaufsicht (Austrian Financial Market Authority) in Austria, Finanstilsynet (Financial Supervisory Authority) in Denmark, Finanssivalvonta (Finnish Financial Supervisory Authority) in Finland, Comissão do Mercado de Valores Mobiliários (Portuguese Securities Market Commission) in Portugal, Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores (Securities Market Commission) in Spain and the Finansinspektionen (Financial Supervisory Authority) in Sweden. The prospectuses (and any supplements thereto) for these entities may be distributed to investors in Austria, Finland, Portugal, Spain, Denmark and Sweden.
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None of the index providers of the Funds referred to herein nor their licensors make any warranty or representation whatsoever either as to the results obtained from use of the relevant indices and/or the figures at which such indices stand at any particular day or otherwise. None of the index providers shall be liable to any person for any errors or significant delays in the relevant indices nor shall be under any obligation to advise any person of any error or significant delay therein.
Investors look for silver to play catch-up with other precious metals, with largest inflows in seven weeks. Silver has been the laggard in the precious metals sector in 2017, down nearly 3% for the year, with platinum the only other metal in the red over the period. The poor performance underscores how industrial demand has not, as yet, been in evidence. COMEX stockpiles of silver have reached the highest level since April 1995. Meanwhile, rising real yields are keeping downwards pressure on gold and with investors increasingly embracing a risk on mind-set, silver has underperformed, pushing the gold:silver ratio to 76 times (a higher ratio suggests silver is cheaper relative to gold) – the highest level in 15 months. After the largest inflows in seven weeks, totalling US$34.9mn, investors are anticipating the downward trend to reverse.
Oil outlook uncertain as investors withdraw funds from crude ETPs for the first time since late May. Despite a surprisingly large drawdown in US crude stockpiles, investors continue to question the ability for the oil market to become more balanced in 2017. After a brief rally following the 6.2mn barrel stock drawdown, oil prices once again succumbed to pessimistic sentiment. US oil stockpiles remain elevated (6% off the record levels seen in late March) and are undermining OPEC efforts to reduce supply in the face of sluggish demand. As a result, oil ETPs experienced outflows for the first time in six weeks, totalling US$18.8mn.
Copper ETPs lead the industrial metals sector with the largest inflows in 16 weeks, totalling US$19.9mn. Although copper ETPs have received inflows for eight consecutive weeks, the optimism in the sector belies the fact that underlying demand remains subdued: global stockpiles have risen in the past week and remain elevated but off multiyear highs reached in February 2017. However, another deficit is forecast for 2017 and with the International Copper Study Group predicting strengthening demand, prices are expected to resume the 2017 rally.
Profit taking in wheat drives outflows to two-year high, totalling US$23mn. The third consecutive week of outflows from wheat ETPs indicates that optimism over the sustainability of the recent wheat rally is fading rapidly. Wheat prices have been surging as drought conditions increase concern about the size of the harvest in the US. However, the crop problems are likely to largely impact spring wheat crop, and winter wheat prices could suffer as the current weather conditions have not had as much impact on crop quality.
For more information contact
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.
Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.
Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.
The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
Risk Warnings
Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.
If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.
Crude oil ETPs experience largest outflows in six months after OPEC agrees output cut extension. OPEC and its non-OPEC partners have agreed to freeze production at current levels for another nine months The Saudi-Arabian led cartel has sought to bolster prices after the price collapse that emerged when its 2014 experiment failed and crippled many OPEC member economies. A deeper cut would be need to shock the market to drive prices higher. With US, Canadian and Brazilian production continuing to grow and global demand remaining soft, global oil inventories will remain elevated. OPEC’s target of bringing down the level of OECD oil inventories to its 5-year average will continuingly be undermined by the growth in US shale oil. As a result, crude prices slid and investors took the opportunity to book profits, with long oil ETPs experiencing the largest withdrawal since early December 2016, totalling US$100mn.
Investors enamoured with technology ETPs sees 11th consecutive week of inflows. The tech sector continues to lead equity global performance, as tech earnings in the US have come in better than expected. The inflows into both cybersecurity and robotics themed ETPs totalled US$34mn, the largest inflows in 11 weeks.
US Dollar buying continues at the expense of the Euro, with 6th consecutive week of inflows. Although the market is fully pricing in a rate hike in the US at the Federal Reserve’s June meeting, the US Dollar continues to weaken. Last week, the US Dollar index (DXY)reached the lowest level since October 2016. Futures positioning has moderated in recent weeks, in line with the price weakness. In contrast, ETP investors have been optimistic, driving inflows into long USD ETPs for the 6th consecutive week. Inflows over that period have totalled US$57mn. At the same time, investors have been cutting positions from short USD ETPs, with withdrawals totalling US$15.3mn. Last week’s outflows were the largest from short USD ETPs since the first week in January 2017. The primary buying of USD came against the Euro which broke above key resistance at 1.12 level. Long Euro ETPS experienced the largest withdrawals in 20 weeks, while short Euro ETPs tallied the sixth consecutive week of inflows.
Industrial metals inflows reach seven year high. Investors have taken the stabilisation in metals prices as a signal to start bargain hunting in the sector. Speculative unwind has begun to ease and with signs of stabilisation in the Chinese economy and China’s authorities initiating new infrastructure programs. Broad industrial metals basket received US$42mn, the largest in seven years.
For more information contact
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
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Precious metals inflows (US$126mn) continue for a second week on rising political uncertainty. Gold (US$50mn) and Silver (US$73mn) ETPs had another strong week of inflows. The main catalyst has been the increasing political tension in the US, starting with President Trump’s dismissal of his FBI director and then culminating with congress appointing a special prosecutor to investigate possible Russian involvement in the US election. With some questioning whether the Trump administration can survive its full-term, safe haven assets such as bonds and precious metals rallied last week. Silver ETPs continue to see investor interest as the gold-silver price ratio still looks elevated relative to recent history. We continue to have a favourable view on silver fundamentals as production has fallen in recent years creating a supply deficit. Silver production, including mine production and scrap, fell 32.6 million ounces between 2015 and 2016.
Technology ETPs drive global equity inflows of US$30mn. The previous weekend saw an unprecedented global cyber-attack which impacted both public and private computer systems in up to 74 countries. On the back of this both the Cyber (US$13mn ) and Robo (US$16mn ) ETPs saw strong inflows last week. The Tech sector more generally continues to lead equity performance, as tech earnings in the US have come in better than expected. 82% of Tech companies have so far beat estimates, one of the strongest sectors in the S&P 500.
Dollar Buying and Euro Selling. The US Dollar index (DXY) has had its worst week in ten months as the political tumult in the US sent bond yields lower. Nevertheless, the USD ETP had inflows of US$8mn last week as investors took the opportunity to buy the US Dollar ahead of the June Federal Reserve Meeting in three weeks’ time. Currently the futures market is assigning nearly 100% probability to a hike at the meeting. The primary buying came against the Euro which broke the 1.10 EUR level following President Macron’s inauguration. Since April, there have been five straight weeks of inflows in the USD ETP since mid-April, totalling US$50mn.
Industrial metals reverse outflows from last week. There were US$21mn into the Industrial Metals basket ETP and US$11mn into the Copper ETP following China’s announcement last week that it would invest an additional US$20bn to the Silk Road Fund which seeks to boost infrastructure and trade links with the rest of the world. In contrast, the China A-share equity ETP saw US8mn of outflows as tighter liquidity conditions continues to drag on the A-share market which is down -1% YTD.
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ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
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E info@etfsecurities.com
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This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
This is a strictly privileged and confidential communication between ETFS UK and its selected client. This communication contains information addressed only to a specific individual and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person other than the named addressee. This communication (i) is provided for informational purposes only, (ii) should not be construed in any manner as any solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or any related financial instruments, and (iii) should not be construed in any manner as a public offer of any securities or any related financial instruments. If you are not the named addressee, you should not disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender immediately if you have mistakenly received this communication. When being made within Italy, this communication is for the exclusive use of the ”qualified investors” and its circulation among the public is prohibited.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
This document may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy or correctness of any information contained herein and any opinions related to product or market activity may change. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data.
Any historical performance included in this document may be based on back testing. Back tested performance is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back tested data does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual or future performance.
Historical performance is not an indication of or a guide to future performance.
The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
ETFS UK is required by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”) to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
Risk Warnings
Any products referenced in this document are generally aimed at sophisticated, professional and institutional investors. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the prospectus (and any supplements thereto) of the relevant product issue. The price of any securities may go up or down and an investor may not get back the amount invested. Securities may valued in currencies other than those in which there are priced and will be affected by exchange rate movements. Investments in the securities which provide a short and/or leveraged exposure are only suitable for sophisticated, professional and institutional investors who understand leveraged and compounded daily returns and are willing to magnify potential losses by comparison to investments which do not incorporate these strategies. Over periods of greater than one day, investments with a short and/or leveraged exposure do not necessarily provide investors with a return equivalent to a return from the unleveraged long or unleveraged short investments multiplied by the relevant leverage factor. Investors should refer to the section entitled ”Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in any securities referenced in this communication.
If you have any questions please contact ETFS UK at +44 20 7448 4330 or info@etfsecurities.com for more information.
