Robothandel är något som de flesta inte undgått att höra talas om men det finns anledning att Håll ögonen på Robotics ETF, eller som den formellt heter Robo-Stox Global Robotics & Automation Index ETF (NasdaqGM: ROBO). När denna börshandlade fond lanserades i slutet av 2013 fick den ta emot en del kritik för att den var allt för nischad. Det sades att den hade inte var tillräckligt bred för att kunna attrahera ett intresse för det stora antalet investerare. Under 2015 har denna ETF backat med fem procent, en effekt av att industrisektorn har haft problem.
Räkna inte bort denna ETF
Räkna inte bort denna ETF, men satsa samtidigt inte allt kapital i denna börshandlade fond. Vi gillar denna nisch-ETF, men det är en börshandlad fond som kräver en försiktig hållning. Begreppet robotik vinner mark, och International Federation of Robotics förväntar sig att försäljningen av robotar världen över kommer att öka med 6 procent mellan 2014 och 2016. Prognosen är att cirka 190 000 industrirobotar kommer att levereras till företag runt om i världen under 2016.
Tech sektorn skulle kunna vända. Som en tillväxtorienterad sektor leder sektorn under ett marknad rally. Det betyder att vi kan komma att se ett rally inom tekniksektorn om förvaltarna väker att allokera ytterligare kapital till sektorn.
Bilförsäljningen ökar på de tre största marknaderna
Enligt en rapport har KUKA AG gynnats av en ökad bilförsäljning på de tre största marknaderna, Västeuropa, Kina och USA där försäljningen spås ha ökat med 8,7 %, 5,5 % respektive 5,0 % för de första tre kvartalen 2015. KUKA är en av de företag som ingår i ROBO.
Det handelsvägda dollarindexet har ökat med cirka 15 procent under det senaste året och befinner sig just nu på den högsta nivån på tio år. Därför bör investerare vara medvetna om att den starkare dollarn kan påverka företagets försäljning i utlandet, särskilt för stora multinationella företag med betydande utländska exponering. Historiskt sett har industrisektorn återhämtade sig under perioder när den amerikanska dollarn försvagats. Följaktligen bör detta tyda på att industriföretag skulle vara negativt korrelerade till dollarn.
Denna ETF debiterar sina andelsägare ett förvaltningsarvode om 0,95 procent per år.
While most people have come to accept the impact of robotics and automation within the industrial & manufacturing sectors, already a new age of robots is emerging in the home and office. These are robots that work with and for people in the workplace and at home. The difference between these robots and their industrial counterparts is that they are small, safe, inexpensive and are already all around us.
To find out more about this fast emerging development in robotics and what opportunities it represents for investors please join our webinar
Case studies to be covered during the webinar include:
If you are having prostate surgery in the US now, it is highly probable your procedure will be carried out by a robot.
The largest manufacturer of drones had 2014 sales of over US$1 billion versus US$130 million in 2013.
German industry will invest €40 billion in Industry 4.0 every year by 2020.
There is a Robotic chef who can cook Michelin star food in your kitchen by mimicking world’s best cooks.
Silicon Valley’s Crowne Plaza hotel has launched the Savioke robot room delivery service for guests.
Richard Lightbound has worked for 20+ years in the financial and treasury services industry and is currently CEO of ROBO-STOX Partners Ltd. In addition to managing daily operations in Europe and Asia, he is responsible for executing our business strategy and serves on the Index Committee and Classification Committee.
During his career as a Commercial Banker, Richard served with Wells Fargo and Standard Chartered Bank in senior management positions with responsibility for Institutional and Corporate clients across Europe, MENA and Asia. Richard also served with TradeCard (now GT Nexus) where he launched and managed operations in 6 markets. TradeCard was funded by Warburg Pincus and today is the world’s largest cloud-based commerce network. Richard has lived and worked in Hong Kong, USA, Europe and Sri Lanka.
Nitesh Shah, Research Analyst, ETF Securities
Nitesh is a Research Analyst at ETF Securities. Nitesh has 12 years of experience as an economist and strategist, covering a wide range of markets and asset classes. Prior to joining ETF Securities, Nitesh was an economist covering the European structured finance markets at Moody’s Investors Service and was a member of Moody’s global macroeconomics team. Before that he was an economist at the Pension Protection Fund and an equity strategist at Decision Economics. He started his career at HSBC Investment Bank. Nitesh holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the London School of Economics and a Master of Arts in International Economics and Finance from Brandeis University (USA).
This communication has been provided by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (the ”FCA”).
This communication is only targeted at qualified or professional investors.
The information contained in this communication is for your general information only and is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investments may go down in value.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares or securities in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
This communication may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. Although ETFS UK endeavours to ensure the accuracy of the content in this communication, ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee its accuracy or correctness. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data. Where ETFS UK has expressed its own opinions related to product or market activity, these views may change. Neither ETFS UK, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective, officers, directors, partners, or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this publication or its contents.
ETFS UK is required by the FCA to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
Over the last 10 years, the worldwide annual supply of industrial robots has more than doubled from 80,000 units in 2003 to over 170,000 units in 2013*. As labour costs rise and the price of automation falls, an increasing number of companies are approaching the tipping point for the rapid adoption of robotic technologies.ETF Securities in partnership with ROBO-STOX ® has launched Europe’s first global robotics ETF on the London Stock Exchange. This ETF provides a transparent, liquid and cost-effective method to gain exposure to this rapidly growing sector.
Key Characteristics:
First UCITS ETF to track the global robotics and automation sector
Index created by ROBO-STOX® from their proprietary robotics and automation industry classification system that no other industry body has as yet been able to separately identify
Currently tracks 82 companies across the world providing highly diversified exposure to this growing sector
This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority.
Investments may go up or down in value and you may lose some or all of the amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The information contained in this communication is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities nor shall any securities be offered or sold to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchaser or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of such jurisdiction. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. You should consult an independent investment adviser prior to making any investment in order to determine its suitability to your circumstances.
The ROBO-STOX® Global Robotics and Automation GO UCITS ETF (the ’Fund’) is not sponsored, promoted, sold or supported in any other manner by ROBO-STOX Partners Limited or Solactive AG (the ’Index Parties’) nor do the Index Parties offer any express or implicit guarantee or assurance either with regard to the results of using the ROBO-STOX® Global Robotics and Automation UCITS Index (the ’Index’) and/or Index trademark or the Index price at any time or in any other respect. The Index is calculated and published by Solactive AG. The Index Parties uses its best efforts to ensure that the Index is calculated correctly. Irrespective of its obligations towards the Company, the Index Parties have no obligation to point out errors in the Index to third parties including but not limited to investors and/or financial intermediaries of the Fund. Neither publication of the Index by Solactive AG nor the licensing of the Index or Index trademark by ROBO-STOX Partners Limited for the purpose of use in connection with the Fund constitutes a recommendation by the Index Parties to invest capital in the Fund nor does it in any way represent an assurance or opinion of the Index Parties with regard to any investment in the Fund.
The US economy continued to gain traction last week, with US non-farm payroll numbers adding 214k new jobs and the US ISM manufacturing rebounding sharply. With a holiday shortened week for the US markets, investors will be firmly focusing on the European headlines this week, with Q3 GDP from the Eurozone and the Bank of England releasing its quarterly inflation report.
Commodities
Natural gas rallies on first winter cold. US Henry Hub prices jumped by almost 15% last week to over US$4 on rising demand expectations following an early winter cold snap in the US. With inventories still 8% below the 5-year average, investors fear a shortage of gas. However, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting average to above average temperatures for the 2014-15 winter season, with warmer weather in the West and in New England, and cooler temperatures in parts of the south-central and southeastern United States.
Production is continuing to grow while the EIA has forecasted consumption to be 4.5 Bcf/d lower than last winter’s average demand. Higher levels of production combined with lower levels of consumption should result in a significantly lower drawdown of natural gas inventories this winter, in turn putting downward pressure on prices. Meanwhile, the gold silver ratio hit a 5-year high last week, as the price of silver fell by almost 9% to US$15oz. With prices now hovering around the marginal cost of production, we believe it is only a matter of time before silver regains its shine.
Equities
Global equities extend their gains. The DAX index continued to rise last week, despite the European Commission revising down growth forecasts for the Eurozone. While the report predicts that inflation in the Eurozone will continue to be below target and employment will remain elevated, continued stimulus from the ECB should eventually produce its effect on the real economy. The FTSE100® index also moved higher last week. The UK has been one of the best performing developed economies over the past year and we expect that to increasingly be reflected in equity market performance going into 2015. Continued strength in the US job numbers buoyed US equities last week, with the Russell 2000 small caps index and the ROBO-STOX® Global Robotics and Automation Index TR rising by 1.4% and 1.2% respectively.
Currencies
Currency wars continue. Stealth currency wars are being waged by the ECB and Japan with the massive amounts of stimulus provided to financial markets, in turn prompting currency depreciations. While lower currencies are likely to only have an impact on economic activity at the margin, importing inflation is a critical ingredient when both economies are energy importers and lower oil prices can only be a depressing influence on inflation. Deflationary tendencies have been stalking both economies for many years. Both the Euro and the Yen will remain the global funding currencies for many years. Looking ahead, with the Eurozone expected to post no growth for Q3, the Euro is going to struggle to make any progress against the wave of stimulus that the European Central bank is willing to provide. Rates will accordingly remain low or negative for 2015 in the Eurozone, a stark contrast to our expectations for a modest rate hike by the Fed in Q2 next year.
For more information contact:
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”).
Investments may go up or down in value and you may lose some or all of the amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. You should consult an independent investment adviser prior to making any investment in order to determine its suitability to your circumstances.
The information contained in this communication is for your general information only and is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investments may go down in value.
This communication may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. Although ETFS UK endeavours to ensure the accuracy of the content in this communication, ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee its accuracy or correctness. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data. Where ETFS UK has expressed its own opinions related to product or market activity, these views may change. Neither ETFS UK, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective, officers, directors, partners, or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this publication or its contents.
ETFS UK is required by the FSA to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares or securities in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
Other than as set out above, investors may contact ETFS UK at +44 (0)20 7448 4330 or at retail@etfsecurities.com to obtain copies of prospectuses and related regulatory documentation, including annual reports. Other than as separately indicated, this communication is being made on a ”private placement” basis and is intended solely for the professional / institutional recipient to which it is delivered.
Third Parties
Securities issued by each of the Issuers are direct, limited recourse obligations of the relevant Issuer alone and are not obligations of or guaranteed by any of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., Deutsche Bank AG any of their affiliates or anyone else or any of their affiliates. Each of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. and Deutsche Bank AG disclaims all and any liability whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise (save as referred to above) which it might have in respect of this document or its contents otherwise arising in connection herewith.
”Dow Jones,” ”UBS”, DJ-UBS CISM,”, ”DJ-UBS CI-F3SM,” and any related indices or sub-indices are service marks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (”Dow Jones”), CME Group Index Services LLC (”CME Indexes”), UBS AG (”UBS”) or UBS Securities LLC (”UBS Securities”), as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by the Issuer. The securities issued by CSL although based on components of the Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index 3 month ForwardSM are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, and none of Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities, or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product.
Stimulus from central banks remains a critical driver for FX performance
Even though the end to the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying programme was well anticipated, asset prices reacted strongly. Less dovish comments and the further emphasis on data underscore the market’s reaction. Gold and silver, widely viewed as alternative currencies fell, while stock markets rallied on better-than-expected US Q3 GDP results. US non-farm pay-rolls will be closely watched this week in an era of heightened data dependency.
Commodities
Nickel rebounds. Nickel bounced back 4.1% after excessive losses in recent months. With nickel trading significantly below its marginal cost, further price falls are untenable and we are likely seeing the beginning of a structural price rally that could be repeated across a number of industrial metals. Soybean meal and soybeans rose 4.9% and 3.0% respectively on reports of dry weather in Brazil, which could delay planting. Grain deliveries by railroad were down 2% according to the Association of American Railroads, accounting for some of tightness in the US despite record production. Corn rose 3.9% as a delay in US harvesting opens up the risk of crop damage if the corn remains in the ground too long. Gold fell 2.5% as the Fed ended its bond buying programme, dragging highly correlated silver and platinum down 1.7% and 1.4% respectively. Cocoa fell 5.4% with the “Ebola-premium” dissipating due to the absence of the virus in the key producer, Ivory Coast. Coffee also fell 3.0%, as prices moderate from the spike in September.
Equities
Global equities cheer on upside US GDP surprise. Led by the Russell 2000 small caps index, which rose 3.5%, most broad equity indices rose last week as investors upgraded their assessment of global growth. The IVSTOXX index fell 5.5% as recent equity market volatility got crushed. A key exception to the rally was the FTSE® MIB index, which fell by 1.0%, weighed down by structural challenges in Italy and Europe more broadly. The MSCI China A-Share index rose 3.0%, shaking off pessimism related to the delay in the opening of the Hong Kong-Shanghai Connect, as investors realise that it is a matter of ‘when’ and ‘not if’ the link opens. The ROBO-STOX® Global Robotics and Automation Index TR rose 1.9% as the robotics revolution, a megatrend to rival the industrial revolution and internet boom, gained traction.
Currencies
Stimulus from central banks remains a critical driver for FX performance, as evidenced by the moves in the Euro, Yen and US Dollar in recent weeks. This week the Australian dollar and the Euro move back into focus. Both central banks will be angling for a lower currency to help boost activity that is otherwise somewhat lacking, with the Reserve Bank of Australia likely to be more forthright in its signalling. As such the AUD could struggle this week. The FOMC began the subtle shift toward tighter policy with less dovish language, and the market viewed this as a positive result nonetheless. The key sentence that we highlighted in the FOMC preview was removed, with the Fed clearly indicating that the focus will be on the data – which has been robust in recent months. Meanwhile, the Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels normal in the longer run. We remain bullish on the outlook for the USD as tighter monetary policy drives the currency higher against other G10 currencies..
For more information contact:
ETF Securities Research team
ETF Securities (UK) Limited
T +44 (0) 207 448 4336
E info@etfsecurities.com
Important Information
General
This communication has been issued and approved for the purpose of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 by ETF Securities (UK) Limited (”ETFS UK”) which is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (”FCA”).
Investments may go up or down in value and you may lose some or all of the amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. You should consult an independent investment adviser prior to making any investment in order to determine its suitability to your circumstances.
The information contained in this communication is for your general information only and is neither an offer for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. This communication should not be used as the basis for any investment decision. Historical performance is not an indication of future performance and any investments may go down in value.
This communication may contain independent market commentary prepared by ETFS UK based on publicly available information. Although ETFS UK endeavours to ensure the accuracy of the content in this communication, ETFS UK does not warrant or guarantee its accuracy or correctness. Any third party data providers used to source the information in this communication make no warranties or representation of any kind relating to such data. Where ETFS UK has expressed its own opinions related to product or market activity, these views may change. Neither ETFS UK, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective, officers, directors, partners, or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this publication or its contents.
ETFS UK is required by the FSA to clarify that it is not acting for you in any way in relation to the investment or investment activity to which this communication relates. In particular, ETFS UK will not provide any investment services to you and or advise you on the merits of, or make any recommendation to you in relation to, the terms of any transaction. No representative of ETFS UK is authorised to behave in any way which would lead you to believe otherwise. ETFS UK is not, therefore, responsible for providing you with the protections afforded to its clients and you should seek your own independent legal, investment and tax or other advice as you see fit.
This document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares or securities in the United States or any province or territory thereof. Neither this document nor any copy hereof should be taken, transmitted or distributed (directly or indirectly) into the United States.
Other than as set out above, investors may contact ETFS UK at +44 (0)20 7448 4330 or at retail@etfsecurities.com to obtain copies of prospectuses and related regulatory documentation, including annual reports. Other than as separately indicated, this communication is being made on a ”private placement” basis and is intended solely for the professional / institutional recipient to which it is delivered.
Third Parties
Securities issued by each of the Issuers are direct, limited recourse obligations of the relevant Issuer alone and are not obligations of or guaranteed by any of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., Deutsche Bank AG any of their affiliates or anyone else or any of their affiliates. Each of UBS AG, Merrill Lynch Commodities Inc. (”MLCI”), Bank of America Corporation (”BAC) or any of their affiliates. UBS AG, MLCI and BAC, Shell Trading Switzerland, Shell Treasury, HSBC Bank USA N.A., JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. and Deutsche Bank AG disclaims all and any liability whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise (save as referred to above) which it might have in respect of this document or its contents otherwise arising in connection herewith.
”Dow Jones,” ”UBS”, DJ-UBS CISM,”, ”DJ-UBS CI-F3SM,” and any related indices or sub-indices are service marks of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (”Dow Jones”), CME Group Index Services LLC (”CME Indexes”), UBS AG (”UBS”) or UBS Securities LLC (”UBS Securities”), as the case may be, and have been licensed for use by the Issuer. The securities issued by CSL although based on components of the Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index 3 month ForwardSM are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, and none of Dow Jones, CME Indexes, UBS, UBS Securities, or any of their respective subsidiaries or affiliates, makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product.
