Etikett: Global equities

TAARSS says prefer Global Equities and Short-term bonds in Q3

TAARSS says prefer Global Equities and Short-term bonds in Q3TAARSS says prefer Global Equities and Short-term bonds in Q3

TAARSS says prefer Global Equities and Short-term bonds in Q3

Deutsche Bank – Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy – Global
The Flow Whisperer – TAARSS says prefer Global Equities and Short-term bonds in Q3

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Tactical Asset Allocation Relative Strength Signal (TAARSS) Monthly Update

Top recommendations for July: Japan, Europe, US Commercial Banks, and US Healthcare.

Market review

Global equities and bonds were under pressure during June. Global equities (ACWI) and US Bonds (AGG) fell by 2.57% and 1.08%, respectively; while Commodities (DBC) advanced by 1.64%

TAARSS rotation strategy monthly and quarterly performance review

Most quarterly and monthly TAARSS strategies presented weakness across the board during Q2 and June 2015, respectively.

Tactical positioning for Q3 and July 2015 based on TAARSS

For Q3 we clearly prefer Global Equities, while staying neutral to Bonds and away from Commodities. Within Bonds we have seen a clear shortening of the duration in investors’ portfolios, therefore we recommend staying in short-term debt products this quarter.

This month in global equity markets prefer Intl DM, stay neutral to the US, and away from EM. Region wise prefer Europe and Asia Pacific, with neutral North American exposure, while staying away from Latin America. In US equities we resume the small and mid cap over large cap theme. Sector wise we see more resilience and support in Healthcare and Technology. In Intl DM countries prefer Japan. Within EM countries, we see South Korea as the only silver lightning currently. In Fixed Income and Commodities we don’t see any strong readings. See Figure 13 and Figure 14 for full allocation details.

TAARSS says prefer a mix of bonds and equities in Q1

TAARSS says prefer a mix of bonds and equities in Q1

Deutsche Bank – Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy – Global
The Flow Whisperer – TAARSS says prefer a mix of bonds and equities in Q1

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Tactical Asset Allocation Relative Strength Signal (TAARSS) Monthly Update

In Q1, prefer fixed income, followed by equities, and away from commodities. Still prefer longer maturities, but lower the duration within fixed income.

Market review

The end of the year brought additional weakness to Commodities (DBC) and Global equities (ACWI) which lost 9.65% and 2.37%, respectively. While US Bonds (AGG) edged higher by 0.15%.

TAARSS rotation strategy quarterly and monthly performance review

Monthly and quarterly TAARSS strategies were mostly negative in December and Q4, respectively. However performance relative to benchmarks was mixed. In December, monthly strategies outperformed their benchmarks on the equity side; while they lagged their benchmarks outside equities. In Q4, the multi asset rotation outperformed most of its benchmarks, while the fixed income duration rotation outperformed its benchmark.

Tactical positioning for Q1 and January 2015

Unlike Q4, TAARSS signals suggest better investment demand support, and hence less volatility, for fixed income and equities in Q1. More specifically, TAARSS recommends a balanced allocation to fixed income and equities; away from commodities during Q1 2015. Within fixed income, TAARSS still recommends a preference for long term duration, but with some intermediate exposure for the current quarter.
For the month of January, TAARSS equity positioning indicates a preference for the US with some international DM exposure; and away from EM. Overall prefer North American equities, stay neutral towards Europe and Asia Pacific, and away from Latin America. For the US, a broad exposure seems appropriate, but with overweight to Small Caps; sector wise prefer Defensive sectors or Consumer Discretionary in the US. Specific DM countries seem weak across the board; prefer regional exposures with currency hedge, if desired. In EM countries prefer India and China. Other interesting equity themes are Infrastructure and Transportation. In terms of fixed income sectors, TAARSS favors MBS, Convertibles, Intl DM debt, and Municipals while steering away from EM debt and Senior Loans. Avoid commodities, according to TAARSS.